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Comments on: Dave Renham: A Synopsis of 5f AW Draw/Pace https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/ Just another geegeez site Thu, 27 Feb 2020 19:44:01 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.7.15 By: dohertym22 https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-294 Thu, 27 Feb 2020 19:44:01 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-294 I have another theory. It is markedly more difficult for a higher drawn horse to reach the lead than a lower drawn horse. When this does happen it may be inferred that it was easier to do so because of.a slower pace. In such circumstances the wide drawn leader is more likely to enjoy an uncontested lead and of course having used comparative less speed at the start, means he is less likely to tire at the business end of the race.
Just a theory.

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By: Dave D https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-293 Mon, 24 Feb 2020 23:07:29 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-293 In reply to Dave D.

then the inside midfielder wins the example race, although the front runner jockey did drop the whip

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By: Dave D https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-292 Mon, 24 Feb 2020 22:58:58 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-292 In reply to Richard.

my thoughts exactly

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By: SK https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-291 Mon, 24 Feb 2020 13:14:20 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-291 Nice read Dave and nice to see Dundalk included also. 🙂

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By: hillsy945 https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-290 Mon, 24 Feb 2020 13:07:14 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-290 Very useful analysis Dave. I guess the only missing piece of this puzzle is the assessment of the general profile of the pace across the card of runners. If a likely high-drawn leader is going to face competition for the lead from those drawn (probably) on his or her inside, then this (to my mind at least) increases the probability of a pace collapse at the end of the race.

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By: Richard https://rpapi.ggzssd.co.uk/2020/02/24/dave-renham-a-synopsis-of-5f-aw-draw-pace/#comment-289 Mon, 24 Feb 2020 10:52:09 +0000 https://www.geegeez.co.uk/?p=2801925#comment-289 Another interesting article Dave, thank you.

At least part of the reason the high drawn front runners are not so disadvantaged in my opinion is this. Imagine driving your car at speed into a left handed bend, the arc that you make if you are tight to the left side of the road means you need to slow down to get round safely. The wider you take the bend the less the requirement to ease down and therefore less momentum is lost.

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