Hi Rory, I’m on there as mattbisogno, I think. The link is:
https://www.colossusbets.com/syndicates/profile/325
If you follow geegeez on twitter, I always post syndicates on there, too.
Matt
]]>Yes, that’s a very fair point, Martin, about bankers being slightly less obvious. From an insurance perspective, however, they don’t offer the ‘cheap lay’ opportunity of a shortie. Nevertheless, I think you’re right about trying to bank where less others have banked.
Matt
]]>Hi Simon
Thanks for your comment. I do have the rights to republish Mal Boyle’s placepot book, but need to find a smart way to convert it from print to digital. Regarding me and Dave teaming up to write a book, that’s not impossible: more likely is that I will write one. I’ve started that project in this down time; whether I finish it is a very different question indeed!
On the main question about little and often or occasional big hits, my answer – which is not necessarily the correct answer – is ‘neither and both’. Obviously that needs qualification so here goes: the key is not the frequency or the size of the pool, but rather the perceived edge. As I will say in Part 2, in my view you need to feel you have a counter-market view in at least two races (i.e. you think the top of the market is beatable) to justify a play.
Naturally you’ll not always be right about which races but if you’re playing on a day when you think all races will go to the favourites, there’s no point playing. If you’re right, the dividend will be small, if you’re wrong you’ll have lost your money. If you feel it will be favourite heavy but bet to include longer priced horses, you’re self-defeating. There’s always another day to bet tomorrow (unless we’re in lockdown, obvs!)
Hope that offers some food for thought.
Matt