The ITV cameras are also heading to Doncaster to take in the best of their action, including the ultra-competitive SkyBet Chase – a race the Alan King yard have twice in the last four years.
As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.
12.40 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RacingTV
14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
9/16 – French bred (including last 7 winners)
8/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil 2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
5/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
4/16 – Trained by Alan King
4/16 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
3/16 – Won by a German bred horse
3/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
Nicky Henderson has trained 4 of the last 7 winners
The last three winners have been owned by JP McManus
2019 Winner: FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES (J O’Brien) 4/1
13.15 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f RacingTV
16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
15/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, La Landiere Cathcart 2003, Close Brothers Novices’ Chase, Mister Whitaker 2018)
15/16 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) in the UK previously
12/16 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
12/16 – Rated 128 or higher
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/16 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/16 – French bred
3/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/16 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10 runnings)
2019 Winner: KILDSART (B Pauling) 9/2
1.50 – Paddy Power 45 Sleeps To Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m 41/2f ITV
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
14/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner – Siruh Du Lac)
9/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 10-7 or less
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Won by the Hobbs yard
2019 Winner: SIRUH DU LAC (N Williams) 6/1
2.25 – Paddy Power Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV
16/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
15/16 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (9 had won)
15/16 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
13/16 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
11/16 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, but all placed 8th or better)
11/16 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
11/16 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time
11/16 – Priced 7/1 or less
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
7/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
0/16 – Favourites
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup
2019 Winner: FRODON (P Nicholls) 9/4
3.00 – Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y ITV4
14/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
12/14 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
11/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
11/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
9/14 – Priced 7/2 or less
8/14 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
5/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/14 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2019 Winner: BIRCHDALE (N Henderson) 2/1
3.35 – galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV
14/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
13/15 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
12/15 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
12/15 – Officially rated 154 or higher
11/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
8/15 – Won their latest race
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown
2019 Winner: PAISLEY PARK (E Lavelle) 10/3
4.10 - Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) Soft 2m1f RacingTV
15/15 – Rated 120 or higher
14/15 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
11/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner La Fontana)
8/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
10 of the last 11 winners carried 10-12 or less in weight
2019 Winner: BENNY’S BRIDGE (F O’Brien) 8/1
2.05 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The River Don Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y ITV
10 previous runnings
10/10 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/10 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/10 – Winning favourite
The last 8 winners were all aged 5 or 6 years-old
2019 Winner: NADAITAK (B Pauling) 12/1
2.40 - Yorkshire Rose Mares´ Hurdle (Registered as The Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV
9 previous runnings
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won over this trip before
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Went onto run in the Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/10 – Won between 1-3 times before (hurdles)
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 - Winning favourites
2019 Winner: LADY BUTTONS (P Kirby) Evs fav
3.15 – Sky Bet Chase (A Handicap) (formerly The Great Yorkshire Chase) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m ITV
13/14 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/14 – Aged 9 or younger
11/14 – Officially rated 130 or higher
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell
Other Stats:
4 of the last 13 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
5 of the last 13 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)
2019 Winner: GO CONQUER (N Twiston-Davies) 8/1
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As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......
1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4
Three previous runs
All winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
All winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Synopsis (13/2) won the race in 2018
2.30 – CF Roberts 25 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4
15/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
12/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
11/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Aged 8 or younger
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of last 3 runnings)
Cogry (9/1) won the race in 2018
Robinsfirth (7/4) won the race in 2017
3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
13/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 - Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/15 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/15 – Aged 9 or older
8/15 – Aged in double-figures
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/15 – Trained by Enda Bolger
5/15 – Carried 11-12
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Won last time out
Fact Of The Matter (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
Josie’s Orders won the race in 2015
3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4
13/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
13/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Irish bred
12/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/16 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/16 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
Aaron Lad (15/2) won the race in 2018
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