As always we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.
13/14 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
10/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/14 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/14 – French bred
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Raced at Haydock last time out
14/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Placed favourites
13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
11/14 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
6/14 – French bred
6/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
Altior has won the last two renewals (2017 & 2018)
Note: The 2019 running was staged at Ascot
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Rated 150+
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
10/16 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
4/16 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 13 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 13 runnings is 3/1
Note: 2009 running was staged at Kempton and the 2019 running staged at Ascot
17/17 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Rated 130 or higher
14/17 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
9/17 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 13)
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/17 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of last 6)
2/17 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/17 – Owned by JP McManus
1/17 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
22 of the last 23 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over 2m fences before
7/9 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
7/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 137-147
5/9 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 5 winners have been 6 year-olds
Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown
Just 5 previous running
5/5 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
5/5 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/5 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
3/5 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
3/5 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/5 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Irish bred
2/5 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Irish (3) or French (6) bred
8/9 – Aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top three
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
7/9 – Unplaced in their last race
7/9 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
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]]>As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.
6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/6 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
5/6 – Winning favourites
5/6 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/2
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 37% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
18/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
13/18 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
13/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/18 – Irish (7) or French (5) bred
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Carried 10-11 or less
11/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/18 - Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (38 runnings) 33 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/7 – Placed favourites
4/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/7 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
2/7 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 is 9/2
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016
12/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
12/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/12 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/12 – Aged 7 years-old
8/12 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4
13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 5)
2/13 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3
14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
11/14 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/14 – Officially rated between 129-140
10/14 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
9/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/14 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/14 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Favourites placed
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
Impulsive Star (8/1) won the race in 2019
Milansbar (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1
14/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
11/14 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
11/14 – Officially rated between 126-142
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners were aged 8 or younger
4 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1
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