Sat TV Trends: 14th Dec 2019

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/17 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
13/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/17 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (1 winner, Frodon – Ryanair Chase)
12/17 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (5 won)
12/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Officially rated 142 or higher
11/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – French bred
8/17 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
5/17 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
5/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/15 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/15 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/15 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/15 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
2/15 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
9 of the last 10 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

17/17 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Won over 2m1f+ (hurdles) previously
14/17 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
13/17 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
13/17 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
12/17 –  Favourites placed
11/17 – Won their latest race
11/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/17 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/17 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/17 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/17 – Rated 162 or higher
7/17 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/17 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/17 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
3/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/17 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)

3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just  previous runnings
All four winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 - winners carried 10-11 in weight
2/4 - winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
Trainers, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.10 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

9/9 – Placed 1^st or 2^nd last time out
8/9 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
8/9 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – French (2) or Irish (5) bred
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 6 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

9/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Had won just once before over hurdles
7/9 – Irish (3) or French (4) bred
7/9 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
6/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/9 – Trained by John Quinn
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Peace and Co won the race in 2014 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Aged 7 years-old
6/10 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
6/10 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/10 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/10 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners were all rated 139

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